UP Opinion Poll: INDIA Bloc Ahead with 41 Seats as NDA Slips Below Majority

LUCKNOW: With political momentum building in Uttar Pradesh, a new nationwide opinion poll conducted by India Today and CVoter presents significant challenges for the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) while boosting the morale of the Samajwadi Party (SP) and Congress-led INDIA bloc.

The survey assesses voter sentiment across Uttar Pradesh’s critical 80 Lok Sabha constituencies to determine outcomes if parliamentary elections were conducted today.

Key Projections at a Glance

Key Takeaways from the Findings

• Sharp Dip for NDA Since January: In CVoter’s January tracker, the BJP alone was projected to secure 44 seats, indicating a comfortable majority from the state. The latest tracker shows the party slipping by 10 seats to 34, leaving the broader NDA coalition with 38 seats—below the halfway mark in the state.
• Resilience of the INDIA Bloc: The opposition coalition maintains a strong footing with a projected 41 seats.
• Significant Gains for Congress: Within the opposition alliance, the Congress party shows substantial growth, jumping from a projected 2 seats in January to 11 seats in the current poll. The Samajwadi Party holds steady with a projected 30 seats.
• Strategic Implications: With the SP-Congress partnership committed to contesting upcoming regional electoral battles together, the projection of an opposition majority presents an ongoing strategic challenge for Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath and the state NDA leadership.